Corona cases increased by 95% in a week, Delhi-UP-Haryana has the highest number of cases; What is the danger of a fourth wave?

Corona cases are starting to scare once again in the country. Corona cases have increased by 95% in the country in the last week. The maximum number of corona patients are being found in Delhi-NCR. Out of the total corona cases found in the last one week, two-thirds have come from Delhi, Haryana, and UP.

With this, corona cases are increasing continuously in 12 states of the country. Experts are also not ruling out the possibility of a fourth wave of the corona.

In which states of the country are corona cases increasing rapidly?

Corona cases are increasing very fast in 12 states of the country for the last 3 weeks. At the same time, there have been almost twice as many cases in the country as compared to last week, that is, 95% more.

Between 18-and 24 April, 15,700 new corona patients have been found in the country. Last week only 8050 cases of the corona were reported. If seen, this is the second week after the decrease in cases for 11 consecutive weeks in the country when corona cases have increased.

Active cases of corona in the country have increased from about 11,500 last Sunday to more than 16,300. It is a matter of relief that corona cases are increasing but deaths have not increased much. Excluding the deaths in Kerala, there have been only 27 deaths due to corona in the country this week, which is the same as last week.

This week the maximum number of corona patients have been found in Delhi, Haryana, and UP. A major part of these is from NCR. These three states are such where corona cases had increased even last week. Corona cases have increased in 9 other states Kerala, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Bengal, Rajasthan, and Punjab this week.

6336 new corona patients have been found in Delhi this week, which is 2.7 times more than the 2,307 patients found last week. 2,296 cases were reported in Haryana and 1,278 in UP, which is 2 times more than last week. Out of the total corona cases in the country this week, two-thirds of cases have been found only in Delhi, Haryana, and UP.

In how many districts of the country, the weekly positivity rate of Corona is more than 5%?

Of the total 734 districts in the country, 34 are those where the weekly positivity rate (April 18 to 24) is more than 5%. That is, according to WHO, the infection in these districts is still uncontrollable. There are 18 districts where the positivity rate is more than 10%.

Let us first know the positivity rate in simple language. If 100 people were tested in your colony and 20 active cases came out, then the positivity rate would be 20%.

Usually, if the positivity rate is between 4 to 5 percent, then the situation is considered controlled, but WHO says that if it is more than 5% then the situation has become uncontrollable.

Kerala has the highest positivity rate of more than 5% in 13 districts. There are 9 districts of Mizoram where the positivity rate is more than 5%. The positivity rate is above 5% in 5 districts of Delhi.

What is the reason behind the increase in corona cases?

If seen, the cases of corona are increasing in the country for the last two weeks. However, the real reason behind the increase in the case is still not known.

It is not yet clear whether this is primarily due to the sub-variant of Omicron or the decline in immunity after 9 months of the second dose.

Several media reports have claimed that Omicron's 9 sub-variants are the main reason behind the rapidly increasing corona cases in Delhi. Omicron's 9 variants including BA.2.12.1 have been confirmed in genome sequencing in Delhi.

The third wave came because of Omicron in the country. According to Ourworldindata, as of April, Omicron was responsible for 100% of the new corona cases in the country.

Over the past few months, Omicron's sub-variant BA.2, or Stealth Omicron has spread rapidly across the world including India.

BA.2 was responsible for about 94% of the total corona cases reported in the world in the last few days.

According to experts, BA.2 or stable Omicron is the dominant variant in India right now and is responsible for most of the new cases.

Is the rising cases of corona a sign of the arrival of the fourth wave?

Dr. Lalit Kant, former head of the epidemiology department at the Indian Council of Medical Research, ie ICMR, says that as soon as people stop wearing masks, corona cases start increasing again. In such a situation, there will be ups and downs in the case of the corona, but the death toll mustn't increase due to this.

He said that the rate of admission of patients in hospitals is very low. Doctors say that most people have high fever, cough, cold and sore throat and are recovering in three to five days.

Professor Shalabh, of IIT Kanpur, who predicted the fourth wave in the country by June 22 with his statistical method, said about the fourth wave that it is too early to say that the increase in cases is a sign of the fourth wave.

When asked whether there could be a fourth wave in the future? Pro. Shalabh said that the possibility of this is high.

Professor Manindra Agarwal of IIT Kanpur, who made many accurate predictions on Corona, said on the question of the arrival of the fourth wave, that I have no apprehension of the fourth wave coming.

Epidemiologist Dr. Chandrakant Laharia said that this is not a sign of the fourth wave. The cases will keep on increasing, but there is no possibility of a new wave as of now, as Omicron and its sub-variants BA.1, and BA.2 are the dominant variants in the country, and there cannot be two waves from the same variant.

What kind of vigilance is necessary to avoid corona?

The best way to protect against any variant of the corona is to follow the Kovid protocol. That is, wearing a mask, using sanitizer, and getting a vaccination is the best way to prevent corona.